Most accurate poll in last three elections predicts a Trump vict - KMOV.com

Most accurate poll in last three elections predicts a Trump victory

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Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks during a campaign rally Monday, March 7, 2016, in Madison, Miss. (AP Photo/Brynn Anderson) Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks during a campaign rally Monday, March 7, 2016, in Madison, Miss. (AP Photo/Brynn Anderson)

ST. LOUIS, MO (KMOV.com) - If the poll that correctly predicted the outcome of the last three elections is correct this year, a victory for Donald Trump is imminent.

The Investors Business Daily and TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence poll has been the most accurate poll in recent presidential elections, correctly predicting the 2004, 2008 and 2012 election.

In the last IDP/TIPP Presidential Election Tracking Poll before the 2016 election, Donald Trump holds a 2 point lead over Hillary Clinton.

According to its website, the results are based on a survey of 1026 likely voters conducted from 11/3 - 11/6 with a margin of error at +/-3.1 percentage points.

In an election year where nothing has been ordinary or predictable and third party candidates gaining more support than usual, it's important to note that there are other polls that do not reflect the same data as the IDB/TIPP poll. 

CBS News: Clinton +4

Bloomberg: Clinton +3

Fox News: Clinton +4

ABC/Washington Post Tracking: Clinton +4

Another poll that has Trump leading is the LA Times/USC Poll which has him up by five points. 

The only certain thing we know for certain is that as the votes are counted and a new president is elected, we will be able to close the doors on one of the most vigorous elections to date. 

Copyright 2015 KMOV (Meredith Corporation). All rights reserved.

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