The first look at our winter outlook came out today from the Climate Prediction Center. For St. Louis there's no clear signal for seeing a warmer vs. colder winter or a wet vs. dry winter.
The chance for a warmer than normal winter does creep into areas south of St. Louis. And chances for a wetter than normal winter are found over the Great Lakes and northern Illinois.
La Nina is expected to be a player this winter. It's the opposite of El Nino and occurs when abnormally cool waters over the equatorial Pacific can impact global climate patterns. These conditions should develop this Fall or Winter.
Keep in mind that we're still trying to become more accurate and useful on day 7 of the 7 day forecast. So, a forecast for 2 to 4 months from now typically isn't accurate. But it's fun to try and people want to know. So I wanted to pass this on to you.
By the way, last year was a strong El Nino year, which in the Midwest typically means drier than normal. And yet we had the wettest December on record and record setting floods on the Meramec, Bourbeuse & Big Rivers. So much for drier than normal! But like I said, people love to hear what the current thinking is for winter, and I'll keep you posted if there's an update.
As for snowfall last year, we we're below normal at 10.9" (most of which came in February). That's the total not just for winter (Dec-Feb) but the entire snow season including the month of march which can see some big snows in some years. The average snowfall for the season is 17.7". Our record snow season is 67.6" (1911-1912). Wow, let's not come close to that. Or should we? Some people love snow, but 67" may change their opinion!
Here's the link to the full press release.
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