(BaseballStL) -- At some point very soon, it could even be today, Chris Carpenter will learn exactly what his rehab program is going to look like in the short term.
When I talked to him on Monday Carpenter said he had no idea what he was going to be allowed to do and what the training staff was going to have planned for him. This is significant because you have to think about exactly what he's going to need to do before he gets back and how long that's going to take.
First, there's another spring training. About a couple weeks of pitching in live batting practice followed by, at most, a month of a rehab assignment before coming to St. Louis.
So how long will it take for Carpenter to get to that point? Will he be shut down for a few weeks and then start to strengthen his shouler? Will be be able to do some resistance work now? How long it takes him to get to that "spring training" point will determine when he returns to the big leagues.
It could be June. It could be July. It could be August. Heck, it wouldn't surprise me if Carpenter missed the entire 2012 season.