Fed stimulus sends mortgage rates to new lows

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by CBS News

KMOV.com

Posted on September 28, 2012 at 12:06 PM

(MoneyWatch) When the Federal Reserve announced its latest round of stimulus, Chairman Ben Bernanke said he hoped that the move would send mortgage rates lower. Apparently, it worked: Rates just hit new record lows, with 30-year mortgages hovering around 3.40 percent, according to data released Thursday by mortgage giant Freddie Mac. Frank Nothaft, chief economist for Freddie Mac, is hopeful the low mortgage rates will stimulate the housing market and encourage refinancing activity.

Mortgage rates for the week ending September 27 are as follows: 

30-year fixed-rate mortgages averaged 3.40 percent, a new record low and down from last week's average of 3.49 percent. At this time last year, the 30-year averaged 4.01 percent.

15-year FRM averaged 2.73 percent this week, a new all-time low and down from last week when it averaged 2.77 percent. One year ago, the average rate was 3.28 percent.

5-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages averaged 2.71 percent this week, down from last week's average of 2.76 percent. A year ago, the 5-year ARM averaged 3.02 percent.

1-year Treasury-indexed ARM averaged 2.60 percent this week, hitting a new low and falling from last week's average of 2.61 percent. At this time last year, the 1-year ARM averaged 2.83 percent.

"Fixed mortgage rates continued to decline this week, largely due to the Federal Reserve's purchases of mortgage securities, and should support an already improving housing market," Nothaft said in a press release.

Preliminary data release today from the National Association of Realtors indicates that pending home sales declined in August from the two-year peak reached in July 2012, but are still well above August 2011. The numbers reflect contracts, not closings, but NAR expects existing home sales to rise 9 percent in 2012 to 4.64 million.

Lawrence Yun, chief economist for NAR, said some volatility can be expected in the monthly readings. "The performance in month-to-month contract signings has been uneven, with ongoing shortages of lower priced inventory in much of the country, and across most price ranges in the West, but activity has remained at notably higher levels this year," Yun said in a press release.

"The index shows 16 consecutive months of year-over-year increases, and that has translated into a higher number of closed sales," Yun said. "Year-to-date existing-home sales are 9 percent above the same period last year, but sales were relatively flat from 2008 through 2011."

Earlier this month, the S&P/Case-Shiller home price index showed positive monthly and yearly growth over much of the U.S, and consumer confidence rose from the previous month.

Despite the uptick in home prices and expected increase in home sales, these low mortgage rates indicate the housing market is still struggling to make a full recovery. Things are looking up but we have a long way to go.

 

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